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Thursday 17 February 2011

fikirkanlah..

Salam, harap semua dapat berehat di hari maulid Nabi kelmarin. selain dari berselawat semoga kita dapat mengingati dan mempelajari sejarah....Malas lah saya nak menulis panjang lebar.. sebab ramai orang lebih mahir didalam bidang igama ni..

 lusa dah Jumaat ..

Disini saya terjumpa di internet article yang ditulis mengenai supply makanan untuk seluruh dunia..
Saya harap sesiapa yang baca sila fikirkanlah..kalau ada sedara mara menteri ke, orang yang ada pengaruh didalam policy pertanian, hasil dan bekalan negara, tu suruh mereka baca.. Selalunya artikel ini ditulis berdsarkan research mereka bergantung dari sources food trading industry yang terkemuka di negara barat..
Banyak boleh dipelajari didalam merangka policy pengeluaran dan pergantungan negara kita kepada pembekal luar.

Kepada penduduk di Malaya, beringat ingat lah, panas tidak selalunya sampai ke petang dan hujan belum tentu kerap, jika cuaca berubah dan melanda maka penghasilan pertanian akan turut terjejas. Bila tiada bekalan, tiada lah makanan. Bila ada makanan harga pun mahal, belum tentu diwaktu itu ada kenaikan gaji dsbnya..
Sila fikirkan chain of events bila pengeluaran makanan terjejas,ianya akan menjejas kan hasil pengeluaran lain lain industri..(food chain and chain of event)

Kepada yang berlaman tu, rajin rajinlah bercucuk tanam walau pokok limau purut ke, daun kunyit ke, pisang ke, pucuk ubi ke, keledek ke,  daun kari ke dsbnya sebagai permulaan.. Bila dah jadi yang basic basic ni, tanamlah sawi, kailan, dan sayuran hijau paling tidak didalam takung.. tidak perlu tunggu sawi sampai besar lebar macam kedai.. cukup  besar tapak tangan anak sudah boleh dimasak..
Kalau yang adventures sikit, bela la ikan dalam kolam, takung, pasang pam filter, bela lah pelbagai.. sekurang kurang nya ada bekalan ..

Cuaca yang tidak menentu seperti yang berlaku beberapa bulan yang lepas di benua Amerika, benua eropa, benua asia banyak mempengaruhi bekalan dan kewujudan barang makan. Kelihatan di berita satelite penanam karot di benua Amerika hasilnya mereput akibat ais yang membeku tanah dan tanaman rosak. Begitu juga penanam tebu di Austral1a dimana banjir telah merosakkan tanaman dan menggugat bekalan gula kerana negara ini salah pengeluar hasil gula tebu yang terbesar didunia.

Mungkin ada bijak pandai akan kata negara kita tidak akan tergugat dengan masalah kekurangan bekalan makanan di dunia.. tapi jika kita mengimpot bekalan untuk pasaran di negara kita mestilah kita akan turut merasakan harga barang yang naik.. atau susah mendapat bekalan. Tambahan lagi jika penguatkuasaan amat lemah dan tidak terdidik dengan isu yang bakal melanda maka makin susah lah kita semua. Bayangkan gula saja pada peristiwa yang lalu..
Tidak perlu fikir jauh,  kenapa setiap kali kita nak raya barang harga naik? Apa saja lah dikatanya harga dikawal, tapi harga tetap naik..

Kepada yang ber kawasan dikeliling rumah, tanamlah pokok yang boleh mencantikkan dan mendatangkan hasil..Selain dari menyejukkan kawasan, mencantikkan kawasan, menyimpan air didalam tanah, pokok juga memproses udara dan menghasilkan oksigen.  Bila kematangan pokok tiba maka hasil di keluarkan. Bahan buangan boleh di bakar atau dihancurkan menjadi baja kompos.

Teringat dulu saudara saya rajin menanam pokok disekeliling rumah. Dari pokok kelapa, belimbing, petai mangga, sirih,rambutan, ulam  dsbnya. Tapi yang nak berjual petai sanggup mencuri petai yang tengah tunggu masa untuk di petik. Yang nak buat sembahyang boleh dicuri saja daun pisang atau kelapa muda wangi yang kawan ni tengah tunggu tua nak buat benih dsbnya.... tanpa meminta keizinan penanam yang menanam menyiram dan membaja pokok pokok tersebut. Nak buat sembahyang dengan hasil haram apa dia kira ..
nak berniaga jual petai sanggup pergi tepi luar rumah orang mencuri habis satu pokok.. siap bawa galah.. tahun sebelum nya dia suggest nak tolong jualkan, tapi lesap gitu saja..bila hasil orang ditibai. tahun lepas dipetik sendiri masa orang tu takde rumah. Habis sepokok..
Pisang, daun pisang sedap help themselves  sbb nak berniaga di pasar.. ada ke nak berniaga bermodalkan hasil curi tanaman tepi rumah orang.. Tak guna lah nak tulis sebab malaun tu bukan nya baca tenet ni. Tapi bayangkan kalau mereka berkerja di peringkat tertinggi mahu semua dikapornya..hasil negara..
Bayangkanlah betapa manusia buat begitu saja mencuri dikala keadaan aman. Bayangakan macamana keadaanya bila keadaan huru hara tiada makanan dsbnya?  Mahu mereka mereka  merompak rumah orang?

Sorry terpesong sikit dari topik utama.. fikirkanlah..banyak cara untuk yang tiada ruang yang luas. Buat lah petak yang dibuat dari papan secondhand dari tempat buangan dan dicatkan, boleh dibuat tempat menanam sayuran dan ulam ulaman herba dsbnya..kalau ada kreativiti boleh dibuat seperti anak tangga, maka banyak boleh ditanam.. dan tidak peru risau akan siput babi, lintah bulan dsbnya.. kalau nak pindah boleh diangkut.. malah pokok besar juga boleh ditanam..

Berbalik pada article dibawah, pedagang di bursa komoditi sibuk membeli stok makanan utama dunia dan menyimpan di gudang gudang mereka yang mana mereka akan menjual stok bila diperlukan dengan harga yang tinggi. Mereka ini mampu membeli dan dapat menyimpan stok makanan ini untuk jangka masa yang panjang.
Kejatuhan bursa saham niaga menyebabkan mereka melaburkan duit mereka pada bursa komoditi (pertanian) kerana dengan keadaan cuaca yang tidak teratur diseluruh dunia terutama yang menghasilkan sumber makanan telah terjejas akibat bencana alam.
Apabila pedagang ini mengambil kesempatan membeli atau monopoli stokyang didagangkan maka pengguna(pembeli) akan merasa kesan bila barang di jual dipasaran pengguna melalui  orang tengah..mereka akan menaikkan harga barang..

Disetengah setengah negara dimana kepekaan pentadbiran nya yang langsung tiada, rakyat terpaksa kebuluran atau mengikat perut bila mereka tidak mampu membeli makanan asas seperti beras atau gandum. ini menyebabkan rusuhan dan harga pasaran dapat di manipulasi dan monopoli...(fikirkanlah)

Pembantu rumah kawan saya ada bercakap orang Malaysia ini mati bukan kebuluran, tapi mati terlebih makan..
Mungkin generasi sekarang dapat berpendidikan tinggi bergaji elok hasil dari DEB(Dasar ekonomi baru), maka pergantungan makanan banyak dari hasil belian sahaja, tapi masih ada orang kampung atau dibandar yang masih hidup susah, cuma plight mereka tidak la dapat di ketengahkan dengan mencurahkan rasa di blog dsbnya..
Tulisan ini hanya untuk mengajak semua mulakan hobi menanam walaupun duduk di kondo ke flat ke, tanam la kunyit dalam pasu, daun kesum dalam pasu, limau purut dalam pasu. dsbnya.. Jika banyak hasil potong, basuh dan simpan didalam freezer, supaya dahan dapat bercambah dan pokok dapat menggunakan tenaga menghasilkan dahan dan daun yang baru..mula kecil kecilan dulu, bila dah rasa yakin, buatla tanaman yang lain...


Dibawah article diambil dari ES dated 9 February 2010 with many thanks. WRITTEN BY SIMON ENGLISH
:The men who ate the world: why foodstuffs have shot up in price:



Two years ago there was a Christmas lunch in one of those trendy boutique hotels near Smithfield Market, a gathering of traders and others of ill repute with a collective urge to behave badly.




The hedge fund guy sitting beside me was asked about his next plan for global domination. He'd done houses and gold - what was the new new thing?

"Food," he said between mouthfuls of lobster.



"We're piling into food. Weather's getting weird, so there'll be crop failures. There won't be enough to go around."



His words turned out to be prophetic. Last week world food prices surged to a peak for the seventh month running, according to the United Nations. The bets were placed a while ago. Now it's collection time.



Across the City, at Mayfair hedge funds and Canary Wharf trading desks, sit (mostly) men studying world weather charts. A metaphorical, or possibly even a real cheer, is let out every time a storm that might destroy this year's harvest, and thereby send prices up, is detected.



In the past year, prices of the most basic foodstuffs - wheat, milk, tea, sugar - have rocketed. That's irksome if you're arranging the Ocado delivery - although supermarkets say they have so far shielded customers from the worst impact - but for others in certain parts of the world it presents a more serious problem: starvation.



Last month even Paul Polman, the chief executive of Unilever, warned that the situation is getting out of hand. "One of the main things in food inflation is that it has attracted speculators for short-term profit at the expense of people living a dignified life," he said. "It is difficult to understand that if you want to work for the long-term interests of society."



If the boss of one of the world's biggest corporations feels he is powerless in the face of the traders, what chance for African villagers?



Goldman Sachs, which by some estimates made $1 billion from commodities trading in 2009 alone, might argue that Africa has many greater problems than financial speculation, not least a dysfunctional infrastructure that makes delivering food difficult. Millions of new humans are born in that continent every year, often in areas where there already isn't enough to eat.



But the question now being asked of the men profiting from rampant food inflation is, do they make the price rises more likely by speculation, or would food costs have risen anyway? If speculation on commodities was outlawed, would there be fewer hungry people?



Forced to defend themselves, the traders would say that hedge funds don't cause hurricanes. That perfectly sophisticated investors are on the other side of their trades. And that, anyway, it's a free country, right?



Irked by the suggestion that he is a cause of famine, one commodity trader responded: "What absolute tosh. Tell them about the Chinese starting to eat meat. That's why food prices are going up. That and all the bad weather across the southern hemisphere and Russia stockpiling wheat. It has bugger all to do with me being evil." Perhaps.



The history of food speculation is far from ignoble. The original notion was to protect farmers from risk, to make it easier for them to go about the business of growing food.



By agreeing to sell his crop ahead of time at a set price to a trader - a futures contract, they'd call it today - he was guaranteeing himself a return no matter what happened to the actual market. That way he could invest sensibly and plan for the future. It was a heavily regulated process and food prices seemed only to move according to the normal rules of supply and demand. If the cost of corn leapt and the trader made a fortune it was easy to work out why.



In the Nineties, the giant investment banks such as Goldman Sachs successfully lobbied to get commodity markets freed up. Now anyone - people with no link to or even interest in farming - could take a bet on what would happen to the price of orange juice or pork bellies or wheat.



For a while, not much changed. Then around 2006, as the first signs emerged that the Western housing market was heading for trouble and the cleverest investors started looking for some-where else to put their money, food funds suddenly saw massive inflows of cash.



They expanded to such an extent that in many cases the financial markets are now bigger than the real markets. So there's more money being bet on the price of cocoa than the actual value of all the cocoa. About 80 per cent of the trading in certain foods is now spec-ulative rather than agricultural. The bankers would say the markets they create put risk in the hands of those who are most able to bear it and in the long term they result in food being cheaper than it would otherwise be.



In the short term, however, it seems clear that speculation - some say it is downright manipulation - is the cause of pain and possibly death.



In 2006, the price of rice more than trebled. There were riots in many countries and an estimated 200 million people went hungry. Jean Ziegler, the UN Special Rapporteur on the Right to Food, called it "a silent mass-murder", entirely due to "man-made actions".



The commodities markets are so opaque that it's difficult to say for sure if he's right. What we do know is that in 2008, almost as if someone had pressed a magic button, rice prices went back to normal.



That alone looks like a good enough basis on which to demand better disclosure of who trades what and why. In the equities market, anyone who holds more than three per cent of a public company has to say so. There seems no good reason why this shouldn't also apply to commodities. The good news is that the EU agrees. New rules forcing investors in commodities, bonds and other complex financial instruments to come clean are due in the spring.



In the meantime, as tempting as it is to blame City speculators for your weekly shop getting more expensive, there are pressures at work here. China's growing wallet and appetite for beef is real, rather than a figment of a banker's scheming mind. Meeting this demand won't be easy. Burgers will get more expensive.



At the extreme, some envisage a world food crisis, where even rich countries don't have enough to eat. It seems more likely, however, that the human race will figure out the problem, mostly, and that Tesco will remain well stocked.



The thing is, the traders don't always get it right. If food is just the next speculative bubble - the successor to sub-prime mortgages - and prices drop, some of those investors who presently feel so pleased will be nursing heavy losses. Try to contain your tears at the prospect.



MARKET GIANTS IN CHOCOLATE, POTASH AND GRAIN

Anthony Ward

A hedge fund manager who some claim is intent on controlling the world chocolate market. Dubbed Choc Finger by rivals, Ward is said to own seven per cent of the world's cocoa supplies - that's about five billion bars of chocolate.



Confectioners fear his $1 billion bet on cocoa is driving up the price. It has risen 150 per cent since 2008. Unusually for such wheeler-dealers, Ward has taken delivery of the cocoa beans, said to be held at warehouses across Britain. He lives in an £11 million Mayfair mansion.



Suleiman Kerimov

Russian billionaire who will control up to 45 per cent of the world's potash assuming a merger deal goes through. Potash is a fertiliser vital for agriculture. His personal fortune is put at more than $5 billion.



Gregory Page

Chief executive of Cargill, an American corporation with revenues well in excess of $100 billion. It is responsible for 25 per cent of

US grain exports. The company also supplies about 22 per cent of the US domestic meat market. Every egg used in McDonald's in America comes from Cargill.